Home Politics On Leadership for 2023 Elections: JNB Tops Survey …As More Citizens Cite Disappointment From Current Economic Conditions

On Leadership for 2023 Elections: JNB Tops Survey …As More Citizens Cite Disappointment From Current Economic Conditions

by News Manager

By: Varney Dukuly

MONROVIA: With eyes on possible election victory later this year, an anonymous survey has gleaned voters’ preference for potential Presidential candidates in Liberia.

The survey recorded popping choices Liberians will make in response to challenges such as corruption and bad governance.

The author of the survey, Dr. Christopher L. Tokpah, a Liberian Professor based in the United States, said the survey which was conducted in the period of February 8 to March 2023, covered 863 participants including 243 online responses and 620 in person. The survey had a 3% margin of error.
“Over half 56% of the respondents reported that they do not belong to a specific political party (we will refer to them as Independents), 19% identified themselves as members of Unity Party (UP), 20% identified themselves as members of Coalition for Democratic Change (CDC), 3% identified themselves as members of Alternative National Congress (ANC) and 3% identified themselves as members with Liberty Party,” said the survey report.

In Liberia, eighty percent of the respondents indicated that they were dissatisfied and disappointed with the current conditions in Liberia while, 20% were very satisfied.

According to Tokpah, the author of the survey who said of those people who voted for George Weah in the second round of the 2017 elections, 35% reported that they were satisfied while, 65% indicated that they were dissatisfied.

The latest survey shows that 94% respondents who voted for Joseph Nyuma Boakai (JNB) in the 2017 elections were more likely to say that they were dissatisfied with the things in the country.
For those who did not vote in the 2017 elections, 23% reported that they were satisfied while 77% said they were disappointed, the survey added.

“When asked “who would you vote for if elections were held today,” 46% of the respondents reported they would vote for Boakai (JNB), 27% would vote for George Weah, 7% would vote for Alexander Benedict Cummings, 3% would vote for Tiawan Saye Gongloe and 17% were undecided.

Other candidates (Clarence Moniba received three (3) votes, while Lusinee Kamara received one (1) vote) and others including All Liberian Party (ALP) received four (4) votes,” the leadership preference opinion pool highlighted.

The survey follows previous opinion polls conducted on radio and other online sites in Liberia, which political pundits say depicts a commanding lead for UP standard bearer, Joseph Nyuma Boakai, ahead of the October 10, Presidential and Legislative elections.

Among other things, the report noted that the incumbent President Weah over performed in the age group of 18-24 thereby attracting 27% of all respondents who preferred his Presidency.

“38% respondents in the 25-34 age group stated that they would vote for him. Weah slightly over performed in the 24-34 age group; 31% in this group indicated they would vote for him.”
But the survey said Mr. Weah underperformed significantly in the age range of 35 and above (35-44, 22%; 45-54, 15%; 55 and more, 20%).

Unlike incumbent Weah, the main opposition politician of the former ruling Unity Party, Joseph Boakai over-performed in age groups 35-44 (55%), 45-54 (65%), and 55 and more 52% but decimally performed in age groups less than 35 (18-24, 30%; 25-34, 41%).

Other opposition politicians who are for the Presidency and claiming to make President Weah a one term leader on the account of leadership deficit in the country were captured in the report.

For example, Collaborating Political Parties (CPP) flag-bearer, Alexander Benedict Cummings performed in age group 45 and older (45-54, 9%; 55 or more 8%) while Human Rights Lawyer and standard bearer of the Liberian People’s Party (LPP), Counselor Tiawon Gongloe performed in age group 55 or older (8%).
The survey: “George Weah over-performed among respondents who did not graduate from high school (45%) and respondents whose highest education was high school graduate (30%) but underperformed among respondents who had some college credits (18%), earned vocation training certificate (24%), had a bachelor’s degree (15%) or graduate degree (3%).

Joseph Boakai underperformed among individuals whose highest education was high school graduate (41%) and those who did not graduate from high school (31%).

However, Boakai over performed among individuals with more education (‘some college credits 48%, technical certificate 49%, bachelor’s degree 67%, graduate degree 65%).

Though 360 respondents who are members of political parties will likely choose their standard bearer for the upcoming elections others who are not party members are equally determined to make decision.
The survey quotes the “Independent respondents” as saying, “if we held election today 20% of Independent would vote for the current President, 43% prefer Boakai, 6% prefer Cummings, 4% prefer Gongloe and the rest (27%) were undecided.”

According to the Dr. Tokpah who is the author of the survey, and Associate Vice President for Institutional Effectiveness at Delaware County Community College in America, 27% stated that they would vote for George Weah.

“This seems to suggest that despite being dissatisfied, 7% of the respondents would still vote for George Weah. One can surmise that these respondents do not see a better alternative on the opposition politicians’ menu.”

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